Population Estimates

This topic area covers statistics and information relating to Hull’s resident population including the age and gender structure of the local population, numbers registered with local GPs including local strategic need and service provision. Further information relating to population including Race and Ethnicity and Population Projections are given within Population.

For each mid-year resident population estimate, the Office for National Statistics publish resident population estimates for England, then estimates at local authority level and then estimates at lower geographical levels at different time periods. This means that some information contained on this page may relate to different time periods. Furthermore, the maps take more time to update so may contain older information and some information is presented from the 2021 Census as this contains more detail such as household composition which is presented under Housing and Households within Health and Wellbeing Influences.

The Office for National Statistics ‘back-date’ their recent estimates of the resident population once more accurate Census data becomes available. Their revised estimates were released for each local authority on the 23 November 2023. However, the back-dated population estimates for lower geographies (e.g. wards) are not due to be published until autumn 2024, although they have been released for the more recent mid-year 2022 population estimates. This means that local analyses involving trends over time or analyses involving small numbers which involve combining data for a number of years (e.g. ward analyses) cannot be completed.

This page contains information from the Office for Health Improvement & Disparities’ Fingertips. Information is taken ‘live’ from the site so uses the latest available data from Fingertips and displays it on this page. As a result, some comments on this page may relate to an earlier period of time until this page is next updated (see review dates at the end of this page).

Headlines

• People have different health and wellbeing needs at different ages and stages of their lives so it is important to understand the structure of the local population, not just in terms of their gender and current ages, but in terms of future projections of population numbers as well as other factors which influence health need such as deprivation, housing, employment, etc as well as where different groups of people live in the city. This is necessary in order to plan services, improve health and reduce inequalities.
• From the 2023 mid-year figures, it is estimated that 271,942 people live in Hull. This is an increase of 3,265 from the 2022 mid-year estimate and an increase of 12,848 from a decade ago (mid-year 2013 population). From the Census, it is estimated that there are 115,500 households with at least one usual resident.
• Hull has a relatively large population aged 20-39 years. Young people tend to move into cities to both study and work, so Hull is no different from many other cities.
• The percentage of the population aged 40+ years is lower than England, and whilst the percentage aged 65+ years in Hull is lower than England, it is due to increase over time.
• The age structure of the population differs across Hull with Kingswood, Marfleet and Orchard Park having the highest percentage of children aged 0-9 years, University, Orchard Park and North Carr having the highest percentages aged 10-19 years. Kingswood, Central and Newington & Gipsyville have the highest percentages aged 20-29 and 30-39 years, and Kingswood, Avenue and Central have the highest percentages aged 40-49 years. Holderness, Boothferry and Drypool have the highest percentages aged 50-59 years, and Sutton, Ings and Bricknell have the highest percentages aged 60-69 years. Pickering, Sutton and West Carr have the highest percentages aged 70-79 years, Pickering, Ings and Sutton have the highest percentages aged 80-89 years, and Bricknell, Ings and Pickering have the highest percentages aged 90+ years.
• Whilst the geographical boundaries are the same for the local authority and the Clinical Commissioning Group (and its successor Hull’s Health and Care Partnership or sub Integrated Care Board), the populations differ. In general, the local authority commissions services for the residents whereas the sub-ICB provides care for the patients registered with GP practices within Hull. From the GP registration file in January 2024, a total of 317,974 people were registered with a Hull GP and/or lived in Hull. Overall, 288,916 were registered with a Hull GP and lived in Hull, 3,855 lived in Hull but were registered with a GP outside of Hull (mainly East Riding of Yorkshire) and 25,203 were registered with a Hull GP but lived outside of Hull (virtually all living in East Riding of Yorkshire). Overall, 314,119 patients were registered with Hull GPs.
• Based on the GP registration file, 292,771 people lived in Hull which is considerably higher (by almost 21,000 people) than the resident population estimated mid-year 2023. Both estimates are subject to incorrect assumptions or errors, but it is likely that the GP registration file overestimates the population. It is also possible that the Census and the annual mid-year estimates from the Office of National Statistics slightly underestimates the resident population.
• When delivering care through primary care, the differences in the populations need to be considered as just under one in every 12 patients registered with Hull GPs live in East Riding of Yorkshire (just over 25,000 patients in total and 8.0% of all patients registered with Hull GPs), although the percentages of East Riding of Yorkshire residents varies dramatically across Hull’s 28 GP practices (from just above zero to more than half of all registered patients).
• Furthermore, the Hull travel-to-work areas, which covers a large percentage of East Riding of Yorkshire, has one of the highest levels of commuter self-containment in the country. This means that Hull has high levels of visitor daytime populations who visit Hull for work and study reasons. However, due to the high concentration of retail, sporting and leisure facilities in Hull in close proximity to a high number of East Riding of Yorkshire residents in particular, there are a high number of visitors to Hull both during the day and evening across all age groups for retail, sporting, leisure and other purposes particularly at the weekend. As the nearest A&E for many East Riding of Yorkshire residents is located within Hull, this means that – together with the East Riding of Yorkshire residents registered with Hull GPs – there are significant cross-boundary flows into Hull in relation to the need for health-related services.

The Population Affected – Why is it Important?

In order to improve health and reduce inequalities, it is important to understand the make-up of the local population. People at different ages and stages of their lives have different health needs. Furthermore, other characteristics such as ethnicity, socio-economic group, deprivation, poverty, gender, age, sexuality, religion and other factors may have differing health needs and also seek professional medical help to a lesser or greater degree or have problems accessing services compared to others. Certain geographical areas will have higher proportions of specific populations such as couples with young families, older people, students, and other groups and this will influence the health needs for different geographical areas. Understanding the population is an essential tool in determining current and future health needs in order to plan services, improve health and reduce inequalities.

The Hull Picture

Resident Population

From the Office for National Statistics mid-year population figures, it is estimated that there are 271,942 residents of Hull in 2023. This is an increase of 3,265 from the 2022 mid-year estimate and an increase of 12,848 from a decade ago (mid-year 2013 population).

There was quite an even split in Hull between men (136,575) and women (135,367).

Each five year age band from 0-4 to 60-64 contains between 5.6% and 6.5% (between 15,185 and 17,747 people) of the overall population with the exception of those aged 25-39 years which are slightly higher (between 6.7% and 8.0%) due to the student population and young population living in the city (between 20,261 and 22,077 people). Overall, there are an estimated 42,304 people aged 65+ years living in Hull representing 15.6% of Hull’s total population.

Around one quarter (24.8%) of Hull’s population was aged 0-19 years, just under one-quarter (25.1%) aged 20-36 years, one quarter (25.0%) aged 37-56 years and over one-quarter (24.9%) aged 57+ years.

The population pyramid shows the age and gender structure of Hull’s population compared to England using the mid-year 2023 population estimates.

For each five year age group, there are higher percentages of people aged under 40 years living in Hull. In Hull, the majority of the population are aged under 40 years (54.2%) compared to around half of the population for England (49.4%).

Based on the Office for National Statistics mid-year population figures for mid-year 2022, Hull had a higher percentage of people aged under 18 years and a lower percentage of people aged 65+ years compared to the majority of other local authorities across the Yorkshire and Humber region.

Between 2021 and 2022, it is estimated that the total number of people aged under 18 years living in Hull increased from 59,054 (or 22.2% of the population) to 60,169 (or 22.4% of the population).

Between 2021 and 2022, it is estimated that the total number of people aged 65+ years living in Hull increased marginally from 41,118 (or 15.4% of the population) to 41,738 (or 15.5% of the population).

The table below gives the estimated number of residents in Hull for mid-year 2023 by five year age group.

Age	Males	Females	Persons
0-4	8,204	7,964	16,168
5-9	8,693	8,343	17,036
10-14	9,036	8,711	17,747
15-19	8,974	8,204	17,178
20-24	9,001	8,436	17,437
25-29	10,230	10,031	20,261
30-34	11,035	11,042	22,077
35-39	10,184	10,145	20,329
40-44	8,781	8,488	17,269
45-49	7,843	7,342	15,185
50-54	8,571	8,203	16,774
55-59	8,497	8,217	16,714
60-64	7,678	7,785	15,463
65-69	6,379	6,393	12,772
70-74	5,251	5,491	10,742
75-79	4,124	4,562	8,686
80-84	2,289	2,917	5,206
85-89	1,267	1,935	3,202
90+	538	1,158	1,696
All ages	136,575	135,367	271,942

The table below gives the number of residents in Hull from the Office for National Statistics mid-year 2023 estimates for each 10 year age group.

Age	Males	Females	Persons
0-9	16,897	16,307	33,204
10-19	18,010	16,915	34,925
20-29	19,231	18,467	37,698
30-39	21,219	21,187	42,406
40-49	16,624	15,830	32,454
50-59	17,068	16,420	33,488
60-69	14,057	14,178	28,235
70-79	9,375	10,053	19,428
80-89	3,556	4,852	8,408
90+	538	1,158	1,696
All ages	136,575	135,367	271,942

It is estimated that there are 217,507 people aged 16+ years and 210,867 aged 18+ years living in Hull which represent 80.0% and 77.5% of Hull’s population respectively (which are both lower than England at 81.5% and 79.2% respectively).

The population in Hull is relatively young compared to England as a whole. Cities tend to have younger populations due to students and younger people wanting to live in cities, and more families and older people tending to want to live in suburbs and in the countryside. In 2022, the median age of Hull’s population was 37.0 years and Hull was ranked 46th lowest (out of 317 lower-tier local authorities in England). This means that half of Hull’s population in 2022 is estimated to be aged 37 years or younger and half of Hull’s population is estimated to be aged 37 years or older. Tower Hamlets in London had the lowest median age at 30.5 years whereas North Norfolk had the highest median age at 55.3 years. The median age of Hull’s neighbouring East Riding of Yorkshire was 49.6 years (ranked 296 lowest of the lower-tier local authorities in England).

Between mid-year 2022 and mid-year 2023, there were 3,067 births and 2,749 deaths in Hull giving an natural increase of 318 in Hull’s population. In terms of internal migration, the Office for National Statistics estimated that there were there was an estimate inflow of 11,686 people coming into Hull over the year and an estimated 14,580 people leaving Hull in the year thus a reduction of 2,894 people overall. For international migration, there were an estimated 7,524 people coming into Hull and 1,756 people leaving Hull giving a net gain of 5,768 people due to international migration. There were a a further increase of 73 people due to special circumstances such as changes in the armed forces and/or the prison population.

Hull is 71.6 kilometres square and thus – from the mid-year 2022 population estimates – it is estimated that there are 3,756 residents per square kilometre. In terms of size (square kilometres), Hull is ranked 69th lowest out of 317 lower-tier local authorities. The smallest local authority is the City of London which is only 2.9 square kilometres followed by Kensington & Chelsea which is 12.1 square kilometres. The largest local authority is North Yorkshire which is 8,037 square kilometres.

In terms of population density, Hull is ranked 45th highest out of the 317 lower-tier local authorities. Tower Hamlets has the most residents per square kilometre at 16,478 with West Devon having the lowest at 50 residents per square kilometre. England has 438 residents per square kilometre. Neighbouring East Riding of Yorkshire is 2,404 square kilometres with 346,309 residents and thus 144 residents per square kilometre.

Resident Population By Electoral Ward

Total Resident Population

From the 2021 Census, Newington & Gipsyville, St Andrew’s & Docklands and Orchard Park have the largest resident populations in Hull whereas Ings, Bricknell and Pickering have the smallest resident populations.

There is a relatively even split between males and females for all wards in Hull with St Andrew’s & Docklands (54.0%), Central (53.9%) and Beverley & Newland (52.6%) having the highest percentages of males.

Ward	Males	Females	Persons
Avenue	6,531	6,177	12,708
Beverley & Newland	8,226	7,423	15,649
Boothferry	5,759	6,074	11,833
Bricknell	4,253	4,242	8,495
Central	5,857	5,002	10,859
Derringham	5,718	6,042	11,760
Drypool	6,175	5,876	12,051
Holderness	5,974	6,033	12,007
Ings	4,497	4,812	9,309
Kingswood	4,972	4,929	9,901
Longhill & Bilton Grange	6,114	6,745	12,859
Marfleet	6,534	7,196	13,730
Newington & Gipsyville	8,663	8,336	17,029
North Carr	7,132	7,721	14,853
Orchard Park	7,724	8,348	16,072
Pickering	4,072	4,355	8,427
St Andrew’s & Docklands	9,006	7,678	16,684
Southcoates	7,732	7,329	15,061
Sutton	6,509	6,888	13,397
University	5,712	6,088	11,800
West Carr	6,054	6,743	12,527

Age Distribution of Residents Across Hull’s Wards

From the 2021 Census, the household composition and type of properties differs across Hull’s wards, for instance, Kingswood is a ward with a high percentage of younger families, and there are a high percentage of students living near the University. Further information relating to household composition can be found in Housing and Households under Health and Wellbeing Influences. The household composition of the different wards will influence the age distribution across Hull’s electoral wards as illustrated in the following table.

Statistical disclosure control was used to protect the confidentiality of individuals. This meant that where there were small numbers, data strategies were employed such as swapping records to different geographical areas based on matching characteristics and by adding ‘noise’ to some data cells using a ‘cell-key-method’ to further protect records. Therefore, it is likely that the one person recorded as being aged 90+ years living in Kingswood has been subject to statistical disclosure so it is possible that the number of residents is not exactly one, but perhaps between zero and say ten.

Ward	0-9	10-19	20-29	30-39	40-49	50-59	60-69	70-79	80-89	90+
Avenue	1,241	1,265	2,088	2,086	1,872	1,698	1,265	807	314	72
Beverley & Newland	1,489	1,418	3,669	2,404	1,723	1,906	1,379	1,040	544	77
Boothferry	1,298	1,192	1,410	1,604	1,475	1,759	1,460	1,074	483	78
Bricknell	863	996	1,056	1,022	1,027	1,222	1,062	796	342	109
Central	1,369	1,214	1,834	1,880	1,576	1,292	890	540	217	47
Derringham	1,283	1,150	1,611	1,646	1,313	1,735	1,365	1,026	528	103
Drypool	1,306	1,188	1,683	1,846	1,572	1,784	1,328	866	352	116
Holderness	1,273	1,306	1,423	1,563	1,604	1,874	1,419	1,014	402	75
Ings	1,042	1,059	1,067	1,145	989	1,344	1,173	878	496	116
Kingswood	1,695	1,208	1,530	2,162	1,490	1,069	521	186	39	1
Longhill & Bilton Grange	1,826	1,738	1,486	1,707	1,416	1,511	1,502	1,074	471	128
Marfleet	2,317	1,880	1,896	1,992	1,380	1,680	1,293	816	394	82
Newington & Gipsyville	2,462	2,115	2,530	2,948	2,106	2,099	1,536	819	358	56
North Carr	2,275	2,222	2,166	2,167	1,775	1,854	1,199	824	321	50
Orchard Park	2,664	2,428	2,075	2,420	1,750	1,841	1,502	857	455	80
Pickering	943	918	916	1,070	919	1,203	1,013	900	451	94
St Andrew’s & Docklands	2,038	1,760	3,042	2,878	2,096	2,023	1,487	837	424	99
Southcoates	1,815	1,745	2,038	2,253	1,868	1,945	1,657	1,115	516	109
Sutton	1,454	1,474	1,493	1,734	1,531	1,883	1,774	1,331	613	110
University	1,204	2,258	3,288	1,347	1,189	982	784	491	220	37
West Carr	1,446	1,629	1,341	1,650	1,428	1,775	1,512	1,205	489	52

The following points can be made by summarising the above table for each age group:

• Aged 0-9 years: Kingswood (17.1%) has the highest percentage aged 0-9 years, followed by Marfleet (16.9%) and Orchard Park (16.6%), whereas Bricknell (10.2%), Avenue (9.8%) and Beverley & Newland (9.5%) have the lowest percentages aged 0-9 years.
• Aged 10-19 years: University (19.1%) has the highest percentage aged 10-19 years, followed by Orchard Park (15.1%) and North Carr (15.0%), whereas Drypool (9.9%), Derringham (9.8%) and Beverley & Newland (9.1%) have the lowest percentages aged 10-19 years.
• Aged 20-29 years: Kingswood (21.8%) has the highest percentage aged 30-39 years, followed by Central (17.3%) and Newington & Gipsyville (17.3%), whereas Ings (12.3%), Bricknell (12.0%) and University (11.4%) have the lowest percentages aged 30-39 years.
• Aged 30-39 years: Kingswood (21.8%) has the highest percentage aged 30-39 years, followed by Central (17.3%) and Newington & Gipsyville (17.3%),whereas Ings (12.3%), Bricknell (12.0%) and University (11.4%) have the lowest percentages aged 30-39 years.
• Aged 40-49 years: Kingswood (15.0%) has the highest percentage aged 40-49 years, followed by Avenue (14.7%) and Central (14.5%), whereas Ings (10.6%), University (10.1%) and Marfleet (10.1%) have the lowest percentages aged 40-49 years.
• Aged 50-59 years: Holderness (15.6%) has the highest percentage aged 50-59 years, followed by Boothferry (14.9%) and Drypool (14.8%), whereas Orchard Park (11.5%), Kingswood (10.8%) and University (8.3%) have the lowest percentages aged 50-59 years.
• Aged 60-69 years: Sutton (13.2%) has the highest percentage aged 60-69 years, followed by Ings (12.6%) and Bricknell (12.5%), whereas North Carr (8.1%), University (6.6%) and Kingswood (5.3%) have the lowest percentages aged 60-69 years.
• Aged 70-79 years: Pickering (10.7%) has the highest percentage aged 70-79 years, followed by Sutton (9.9%) and West Carr (9.6%), whereas Newington & Gipsyville (4.8%), University (4.2%) and Kingswood (1.9%) have the lowest percentages aged 70-79 years.
• Aged 80-89 years: Pickering (5.4%) has the highest percentage aged 80-89 years, followed by Ings (5.3%) and Sutton (4.6%), whereas Central (2.0%), University (1.9%) and Kingswood (0.4%) have the lowest percentages aged 80-89 years.
• Aged 90+ years: Bricknell (1.3%) has the highest percentage aged 90+ years, followed by Ings (1.2%) and Pickering (1.1%), whereas Newington & Gipsyville (0.3%), University (0.3%) and Kingswood (0.0%) have the lowest percentages aged 90+ years.

In terms of other age groups:

• Aged 0-4 years: Kingswood (8.4%) has the highest percentage aged 0-4 years, followed by Marfleet (8.2%) and Orchard Park (8.0%), whereas Bricknell (4.8%), Holderness (4.8%) and Avenue (4.8%) have the lowest percentages aged 0-4 years.
• Aged 0-19 years: Orchard Park (31.7%) has the highest percentage aged 0-19 years, followed by Marfleet (30.6%) and North Carr (30.3%), whereas Derringham (20.7%), Avenue (19.7%) and Beverley & Newland (18.6%) have the lowest percentages aged 0-19 years.
• Aged 20-39 years: University (39.3%) has the highest percentage aged 20-39 years, followed by Beverley & Newland (38.8%) and Kingswood (37.3%), whereas West Carr (23.9%), Ings (23.8%) and Pickering (23.6%) have the lowest percentages aged 20-39 years.
• Aged 40-64 years: Holderness (35.6%) has the highest percentage aged 40-64 years, followed by Drypool (34.3%) and Boothferry (34.2%), whereas Marfleet (27.6%), Orchard Park (27.5%) and University (22.0%) have the lowest percentages aged 40-64 years.
• Aged 65+ years: Pickering (22.7%) has the highest percentage aged 65+ years, followed by Sutton (21.7%) and Ings (21.7%), whereas Central (10.9%), University (9.4%) and Kingswood (4.0%) have the lowest percentages aged 65+ years.
• Aged 80+ years: Ings (6.6%) has the highest percentage aged 80+ years, followed by Pickering (6.5%) and Sutton (5.4%), whereas Newington & Gipsyville (2.4%), University (2.2%) and Kingswood (0.4%) have the lowest percentages aged 80+ years.

Parts of Kingswood, North Carr, Orchard Park, Marfleet, and Newington & Gipsyville have the highest percentages of the resident population aged 0-4 years.

Parts of Kingswood, North Carr, Orchard Park, Marfleet, Longhill & Bilton Grange, At Andrew’s & Docklands and Newington & Gipsyville have the highest percentages of the resident population aged 0-9 years.

Parts of North Carr, Orchard Park, Longhill & Bilton Grange, Marfleet, Southcoates and University have the highest percentages of the resident population aged 0-19 years.

Parts of Kingswood, North Carr, Marfleet and Southcoates have the highest percentages of resident population aged 20-39 years together with areas around the city centre (St Andrew’s & Docklands and Central) and around the University (University, Bricknell and Beverley & Newland).

Parts of Kingswood, Sutton, Longhill & Bilton Grange, Holderness, Southcoates, Drypool, Avenue , Boothferry and Bricknell have the highest percentages of people aged 40-59 years.

The areas of the city with the highest percentages of residents aged 60-69 years is quite scattered across the city with Kingwood, North Carr, Orchard Park, University, the southern parts of Beverley & Newland, and areas around the city centre the least likely to have the highest percentages of those aged 60-69 years.

The highest percentages of people aged 70-79 years tends to be in an arch around the city centre with the highest percentages in Pickering, Newington & Gipsyville, Boothferry, Derringham, Bricknell, northern Beverley & Newland, West Carr, Holderness, Sutton, Ings and Longhill & Bilton Grange.

The same areas that tend to have higher percentage of people aged 70-79 years also have a high percentage aged 80+ years, namely, Pickering, Newington & Gipsyville, Boothferry, Derringham, Bricknell, northern Beverley & Newland, Sutton, Ings and Longhill & Bilton Grange.

Kingswood, North Carr, University, Orchard Park, southern parts of Beverley & Newland, Avenue, Newington & Gipsyville, St Andrew’s & Docklands, Drypool, Southcoates and Marfleet tend to have the lowest percentages of those aged 60+ years.

From the 2021 Census, the household composition also differs across Hull (more maps are included within Housing and Households within Health and Wellbeing Influences). A higher percentage of households are single person households of people aged under 66 years around the city centre, with a high percentage of multiple occupancy households (mainly students) near the University, and a mix of families with children and older people to the north, east and west of the city centre with a particularly high percentage of households containing dependent children in Kingwood and North Carr.

Patient Population Registered with Local GPs

Based on the general practice registration file for January 2024, the estimated resident population is noticeably higher than the Office for National Statistics’ estimate for Hull at 292,771 residents with 288,916 of these residents registered with general practices in Hull. A total of 317,694 people are either registered with a Hull GP as a patient or live in Hull based on the GP registration file for January 2024.

Of the 123 patients who live beyond East Riding of Yorkshire, 40 live in North Lincolnshire, 21 live in North East Lincolnshire, 8 live in Doncaster, 6 living in Lincoln, 5 live in Leeds, and 5 live in York, but the remaining 38 patients are recorded as living in local authorities throughout England. It is possible that some of these patients lived in the city and moved away but have not yet changed their GP, and may not be an ‘active’ patient. However, it is possible that some of the patients living elsewhere do live in the city and have recorded another address as part of the GP registration process, for example, parental address given for students, or that they work in the city or divide their time between two different addresses, and may be an ‘active’ patient for the practice.

Of the 317,974 people who are either registered with a Hull GP as a patient and/or live in Hull based on the GP registration file, 288,916 (90.9%) are registered with a Hull GP and live in Hull, 25,047 (7.9%) are registered with a Hull GP but live in East Riding of Yorkshire, and 3,519 (1.1%) people live in Hull but are registered with a GP in East Riding of Yorkshire. Additionally, there are a small number of people who are either registered with a Hull GP and live further afield, or who are recorded as living in Hull but are registered with a GP further afield.

Of the 314,119 patients registered with Hull GPs, 25,047 (8.0%) live in East Riding of Yorkshire and this is an important consideration if services are provided via primary care.

Of the 292, 771 people estimated to live in Hull based on information in GP records, 288,916 (98.7%) live in Hull, 3,519 (1.2%) live in East Riding of Yorkshire and a small number live beyond East Riding of Yorkshire.

Resident	Hull GP	ERoY GP	Other GP	Totals
Resident of Hull	288,916	3,519	336	292,771
Resident of ERoY	25,047			25,047
Resident elsewhere	123			123
Unknown	33			33
Totals	314,119	3,519	336	317,974

As at January 2024, the total number of patients registered with Hull general practices also differs substantially ranging from 2,768 registered patients for Delta Healthcare to 56,831 registered patients for Modality Hull.

As at January 2024, all 28 practices in Hull have patients registered with them who live in East Riding of Yorkshire and 25 practices have patients who live beyond East Riding of Yorkshire or whose local authority is not recorded. The percentage of their patients who live within East Riding of Yorkshire or other local authorities varies across Hull’s 28 GP practices from 0.6% to 52.3%. This includes a very small percentage who live beyond East Riding of Yorkshire.

Modality Hull practice operates as a single Primary Care Network (PCN), this PCN has the highest percentage of patients living in East Riding of Yorkshire or beyond (17.4%). One in ten patients in HASP and Symphonie PCNs also live in East Riding of Yorkshire or beyond.

Practice / PCN	Total patients	Lives in Hull %	Lives in ERoY %	Lives elsewhere %
Goodheart Surgery	6,514	97.2	2.7	0.1
Laurbel Surgery	3,499	47.7	52.3	0.0
Kingston Health (Hull)	10,127	90.9	9.1	0.0
Raut Partnership	4,655	96.8	3.2	0.0
Orchard 2000	9,276	96.0	3.9	0.0
HASP	34,071	89.9	10.1	0.0
Dr Hendow	2,817	91.8	8.0	0.2
Princes Medical Centre	7,754	96.3	3.6	0.1
James Alexander Practice	12,860	96.6	3.3	0.1
Marmot	23,431	95.9	4.0	0.1
East Hull Family Practice	37,882	95.5	4.5	0.0
Medicas	37,882	95.5	4.5	0.0
Marfleet Group Practice	15,204	98.6	1.4	0.0
Clifton House Medical Centre	8,143	96.1	3.9	0.0
The Avenues Medical Centre	7,144	88.9	11.0	0.0
Newland Health Centre	8,374	93.8	6.01	0.1
Acclaim	38,865	95.3	4.7	0.0
Modality Hull	56,831	82.6	17.3	0.0
Modality	56,831	82.6	17.3	0.0
Haxby – Kingswood & Orchard Park	17,921	96.0	4.0	0.0
Haxby – Newington	14,136	92.1	7.8	0.0
Haxby – Burnbrae Surgery	5,352	99.4	0.6	0.0
Haxby	37,409	95.0	5.0	0.0
CHP – Southcoates	13,107	96.9	3.0	0.0
The Bridge Group	8,675	92.8	7.1	0.0
Sutton Manor Surgery	7,872	95.4	4.6	0.0
CHCP – City Centre	17,763	95.9	3.9	0.2
CHCP – East Park	2,987	97.9	2.0	0.1
Venn	50,404	95.7	4.2	0.1
St Andrew’s Group Practice	8,122	92.5	7.4	0.0
Wilberforce Surgery	5,237	97.0	2.9	0.1
Wolseley Medical Centre	7,596	93.6	6.3	0.1
The Oaks Medical Centre	8,051	81.8	18.2	0.0
Hastings Medical Centre	3,452	84.5	15.5	0.0
Symphonie	32,458	90.0	10.0	0.0
Delta Healthcare	2,768	97.2	2.6	0.2
Unclassified	2,768	97.2	2.6	0.2
Hull	314,119	92.0	8.0	0.0

More than half of all patients registered with the Laurbel Surgery live in East Riding of Yorkshire, and nearly one in five patients live in East Riding of Yorkshire for Modality Hull and The Oaks Medical Centre.

The age distribution of the patients registered with Hull practices also differs.

Newland Health Centre has a high proportion of students registered with the practice and as a result has a much different age structure of their patients compared to all other practices in Hull. Just under half (47.2%) of all its patients are aged 20-29 years. Of all 28 practices, it has the highest percentage of patients aged 18-24 and 25-39 years, and the lowest percentage of patients aged aged 0-4, 5-11, 12-17, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 and 80-89 years.

Excluding Newland Health Centre, the following statements can be made in relation to the age distribution of patients:

• Aged 0-4 years: The percentage of the population aged 0-4 years ranges from 3.7% for Laurbel Surgery to 8.5% for Haxby – Kingswood & Orchard Park.
• Aged 5-11 years: The percentage of the population aged 5-11 years ranges from 6.1% for Hastings Medical Centre to 12.6% for Haxby – Kingswood & Orchard Park.
• Aged 12-17 years: The percentage of the population aged 12-17 years ranges from 4.3% for Wilberforce Surgery to 9.2% for Raut Partnership.
• Aged 18-24 years: The percentage of the population aged 18-24 years ranges from 5.6% for Hastings Medical Centre to 8.8% for CHCP – City Centre.
• Aged 25-39 years: The percentage of the population aged 25-39 years ranges from 26.9% for Haxby – Kingswood & Orchard Park to 35.7% for Clifton House Medical Centre.
• Aged 40-64 years: The percentage of the population aged 40-64 years ranges from 11.5% for Laurbel Surgery to 22.8% for Wilberforce Surgery.
• Aged 65-79 years: The percentage of the population aged 65-79 years ranges from 6.1% for Haxby – Kingswood & Orchard Park to 22.3% for Laurbel Surgery.
• Aged 80-89 years: The percentage of the population aged 80-89 years ranges from 1.2% for Wilberforce Surgery to 6.6% for Hastings Medical Centre.
• Aged 90+ years: The percentage of the population aged 90+ years ranges from 0.2% for Haxby – Kingswood & Orchard Park to 1.2% in Haxby – Burnbrae Surgery.

Differences in Resident and GP Population Estimates

The total estimated resident population from the GP registration file (as at January 2024) is considerably different from the estimated number of residents from Office for National Statistics mid-year estimates for 2023. From ONS’s mid-year estimates for 2022, it was estimated that 271,942 people lived in Hull, so with an estimated 292,771 residents from the GP registration file, the GP registration file gives an estimate of 20,829 residents higher (or 7.7% higher).

ONS produce annual estimates based on the Census, ageing people each year, adding births and subtracting deaths, and adding adjustments to estimate local, national and international migration. Whilst it is a legal requirement to complete a Census form, the Census is an underestimate as not everybody completes the Census particularly men, younger people and those living in the most deprived areas. ONS adjust the figures to try to account for this under-count. ONS uses the GP registrations to estimate local and national migration, and there are other sources of data to estimate international migration, but these data sources are neither complete nor comprehensive. So migration will comprise the largest error component, and furthermore the error rate increases with each successive mid-year estimate until the next Census. The original estimates for mid-year 2020 were based on the 2011 Census, and there was a noticeable jump in Hull’s population estimate following the 2021 Census. There was a difference of almost 8,000 residents between the original mid-year 2020 estimates and the 2021 Census. The largest differences (7% or more) occurred among those aged 15-19 years, 35-44 years, 50-54 years, 60-64 years and 90+ years.

Age	2021 Census	Original ONS estimates for 2020	Difference (N)	Difference (%)
0-4	15,954	16,575	–621	–3.7
5-9	17,345	17,170	175	1.0
10-14	16,736	15,806	930	5.9
15-19	15,487	14,286	1,201	8.4
20-24	19,425	20,135	–710	–3.5
25-29	20,220	21,262	–1,042	–4.9
30-34	20,818	20,807	11	0.1
35-39	18,706	17,435	1,271	7.3
40-44	15,802	14,408	1,394	9.7
45-49	16,304	15,441	863	5.6
50-54	17,253	16,049	1,204	7.5
55-59	17,217	16,364	853	5.2
60-64	14,928	13,951	977	7.0
65-69	12,220	11,608	612	5.3
70-74	11,382	10,934	448	4.1
75-79	7,097	6,887	210	3.0
80-84	5,233	5,405	–172	–3.2
85-89	3,197	3,114	83	2.7
90+	1,696	1,489	207	13.9
All ages	267,020	259,126	7,894	3.0

As there is generally a difference between the last mid-year estimate in a series (just before a new Census) and a new Census, ONS back-revise their estimates for previous years after a Census. ONS published their back-revised figures for the mid-year populations from 2011 to 2020 in November 2023 as well as publishing new mid-year population estimates for 2022. Subsequent mid-year estimates have been produced for 2023. With the back-revised estimates, it means that the mid-year population estimate for Hull for 2020 was increased to 267,591 (from the original estimate of 259,126) so there was not such a large increase between 2020 and 2021, but a more gradual increase between 2011 and 2020 as recognised by the increase in population following the 2021 Census.

Whilst the GP registration file is a count of real people, it is not necessarily more accurate. People who move house do not always inform their GP of their new address, and they do not always register with a new GP practice if they have moved too far to attend their GP practice. Once someone registers with a new GP they are automatically removed from the practice list of their old practice (but this will not happen if they move abroad). Thus it is possible that people move to Hull and live in Hull some time before registering with a local GP, and people can move away from Hull but not update their GP with their new address or change their GP to a practice local near to where they move. This is particularly the case for young people especially men, who generally use their GP less frequently.

Thus both the ONS and GP registration file estimates of resident population will not be totally accurate. In general, the ONS population estimates and the Census estimates are used as the official figures for resident population estimates. It is possible that they underestimate the population slightly, but it is likely that the GP registration file overestimates the resident population.

Visitor Populations

The Hull travel-to-work areas, which covers a large percentage of East Riding of Yorkshire, has one of the highest levels of commuter self-containment in the country. This means that Hull has high levels of visitor daytime populations who visit Hull for work and study reasons. However, due to the high concentration of retail, sporting and leisure facilities in Hull in close proximity to a high number of East Riding of Yorkshire residents in particular, there are a high number of visitors to Hull both during the day and evening across all age groups for retail, sporting, leisure and other purposes particularly at the weekend and at other times of the year such as over the Christmas period or during school holidays, or when special events are on in Hull. Furthermore, as mentioned earlier, around 8% of all patients registered with Hull GPs live in East Riding of Yorkshire, and with the nearest A&E for many East Riding of Yorkshire residents located within Hull, this means there is significant cross-boundary flow into Hull in relation to health-related services which will impact on the need for health-related services in Hull.

Hull is a port with significant flow into and out of Hull in relation to those travelling on the overnight ferries to Europe which arrive into Hull and depart out of Hull every day. Whilst many people travelling by ferry in this way will be driving in cars, vans or heavy goods vehicles who travel directly to and from the port without stopping in Hull city centre itself, there may be some such visitors who visit retail and leisure facilities in Hull as they pass through. This may be particularly the case if they require medical treatment or services such as A&E or pharmaceutical services.

Hull is home to a Championship side football team Hull City AFC (Association Football Club) and two Super League rugby league clubs Hull FC (Football Club) and Hull KR (Kingston Rovers). This means that there are significant visitor populations to sporting facilities in Hull with both Hull City and Hull FC playing at the MKM Stadium in the west of the city and Hull KR playing at Craven Park in the east of the city.

Strategic Need and Service Provision

At different life-stages, people have very different needs. For instance, among areas with a high percentage of families, maternal health, breastfeeding, vaccinations, and a good start in life are important issues. Students and young people may need advice and support in relation to lifestyle and behavioural factors such as alcohol and smoking, mental health, and sexual health. People of working age may have needs in relation to employment, mental health, sexual health, and lifestyle and behavioural risk factors, such as smoking and diet. Older people will tend to have more long-term conditions, and needs in relation to falls and hip fractures, dementia, and mental health including social isolation.

Because approximately 26,000+ “extra” people registered with Hull GPs live in East Riding of Yorkshire, if services are delivered through primary care, account needs to be taken of these non-Hull residents on the lists of Hull general practices.

As well as understanding the gender and current age structure of the local population, it is important to examine the future projections for the age and gender structure of the population (see Population Projections also under Population) as well as other factors which influence health and the need for health services such as Race and Ethnicity, and other factors such as deprivation, housing, employment, etc (see Health and Wellbeing Influences) as well as where different groups of people live in the city (see Ward and Area Committee Profiles under Place).

Resources

Office for National Statistics population estimates: www.ons.gov.uk

Office for National Statistics. Census 2021. https://census.gov.uk/

NHS Digital for patients registered at each GP practice: https://digital.nhs.uk/

Updates

This page was last updated / checked on 1 November 2024.

This page is due to be updated / checked in January 2025.